How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Livingston, at 64.6%. The other outcomes represent 35.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.6% · Draw: 18.1% · Away win: 17.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Livingston 1791; Ayr Utd 1673. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Livingston
Elo 1791
1
-
2
Ayr Utd
Elo 1673
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+118
Elo rating comparison
Livingston1791
Ayr Utd1673
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Livingston
—Draws
—Ayr Utd
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
WRONG
Home
65%
@ 1.55
Draw
18%
@ 3.99
Away
17%
@ 5.12
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
89%
@ 1.13
No
11%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
WRONG
Home
54%
@ 2.09
Draw
32%
@ 2.32
Away
13%
@ 5.23
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
@ 1.32
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.23
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.73
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.