How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stranraer, at 50.1%. The other outcomes represent 49.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.1% · Draw: 23.5% · Away win: 26.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stranraer 1542; Edinburgh City 1479. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League Two · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Stranraer
Elo 1542
0
-
0
Edinburgh City
Elo 1479
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+64
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Stranraer1542
Edinburgh City1479
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Stranraer
0Draws
2Edinburgh City
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
@ 2.03
Draw
24%
@ 3.65
Away
26%
@ 3.09
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
@ 1.59
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.31
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 1.68
No
48%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
@ 2.62
Draw
37%
@ 2.29
Away
25%
@ 3.58
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
@ 1.31
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
86%
@ 1.20
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
@ 1.67
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.