How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Grimsby, at 57.0%. The other outcomes represent 43.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 19.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Grimsby 1752; Shrewsbury 1515. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League Two · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Grimsby
Elo 1752
1
-
2
Shrewsbury
Elo 1515
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+236
Elo rating comparison
Grimsby1752
Shrewsbury1515
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Grimsby
—Draws
—Shrewsbury
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
WRONG
Home
57%
@ 1.66
Draw
24%
@ 3.80
Away
19%
@ 4.59
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.73
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
89%
@ 1.17
No
11%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
@ 2.20
Draw
37%
@ 2.29
Away
13%
@ 4.79
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.33
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.23
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.76
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.