How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Salford City, at 67.4%. The other outcomes represent 32.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 67.4% · Draw: 15.9% · Away win: 16.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Salford City 1738; Fleetwood Town 1687. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League Two · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Salford City
Elo 1738
1
-
0
Fleetwood Town
Elo 1687
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+51
Elo rating comparison
Salford City1738
Fleetwood Town1687
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Salford City
—Draws
—Fleetwood Town
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
CORRECT
Home
67%
@ 1.66
Draw
16%
@ 3.83
Away
17%
@ 4.50
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
@ 1.70
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.17
No
16%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
@ 2.19
Draw
34%
@ 2.31
Away
18%
@ 4.68
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
@ 1.32
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
@ 1.22
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.71
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.