How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Huddersfield, at 42.4%. The other outcomes represent 57.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.6% · Draw: 28% · Away win: 42.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Burton Albion 1695; Huddersfield 1780. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League One · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Burton Albion
Elo 1695
1
-
3
Huddersfield
Elo 1780
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-85
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Burton Albion1695
Huddersfield1780
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Burton Albion
0Draws
0Huddersfield
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
@ 3.72
Draw
28%
@ 3.62
Away
42%
@ 1.85
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.71
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.89
No
47%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
@ 1.23
No
28%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
@ 4.22
Draw
38%
@ 2.23
Away
35%
@ 2.40
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.33
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
@ 1.25
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.80
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.