How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Plymouth, at 47.0%. The other outcomes represent 53.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30% · Draw: 23.1% · Away win: 47%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Leyton Orient 1721; Plymouth 1845. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League One · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Leyton Orient
Elo 1721
0
-
2
Plymouth
Elo 1845
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-125
Elo rating comparison
Leyton Orient1721
Plymouth1845
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Leyton Orient
—Draws
—Plymouth
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
@ 3.40
Draw
23%
@ 3.58
Away
47%
@ 1.95
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
@ 1.57
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
@ 1.28
No
28%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
@ 3.84
Draw
42%
@ 2.29
Away
35%
@ 2.46
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
@ 1.29
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
@ 1.19
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
@ 1.65
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.