How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Atletico Madrid W, at 63.5%. The other outcomes represent 36.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 18.2% · Draw: 18.3% · Away win: 63.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Deportivo de La Coruña W 1518; Atletico Madrid W 1804. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División Femenina · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Deportivo de La Coruña W
Elo 1518
1
-
2
Atletico Madrid W
Elo 1804
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-285
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Deportivo de La Coruña W1518
Atletico Madrid W1804
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Deportivo de La Coruña W
0Draws
2Atletico Madrid W
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
18%
Draw
18%
Away
63%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
20%
Draw
37%
Away
44%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.