How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Boreham Wood, at 76.8%. The other outcomes represent 23.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 76.8% · Draw: 11.6% · Away win: 11.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Boreham Wood 1910; Altrincham 1670. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Boreham Wood
Elo 1910
3
-
1
Altrincham
Elo 1670
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+240
Elo rating comparison
Boreham Wood1910
Altrincham1670
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Boreham Wood
—Draws
—Altrincham
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
77% conf.
CORRECT
Home
77%
@ 1.34
Draw
12%
@ 5.12
Away
12%
@ 6.84
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.57
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.08
No
15%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Half-Time Result
63% conf.
WRONG
Home
63%
@ 1.75
Draw
24%
@ 2.79
Away
13%
@ 6.10
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
@ 1.18
No
17%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
@ 1.09
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.36
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.91
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.