How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Aubstadt, at 41.8%. The other outcomes represent 58.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.8% · Draw: 25.9% · Away win: 32.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Aubstadt 1609; Memmingen 1676. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Regionalliga - Bayern · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Aubstadt
Elo 1609
0
-
1
Memmingen
Elo 1676
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-67
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Aubstadt1609
Memmingen1676
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Aubstadt
0Draws
2Memmingen
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
26%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
34%
Draw
36%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.