How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Oleksandria II, at 39.3%. The other outcomes represent 60.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.1% · Draw: 24.6% · Away win: 39.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: SC Poltava 2 1467; Oleksandria II 1502. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Druha Liga · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 08:45
SC Poltava 2
Elo 1467
1
-
0
Oleksandria II
Elo 1502
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-34
Elo rating comparison
SC Poltava 21467
Oleksandria II1502
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—SC Poltava 2
—Draws
—Oleksandria II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
25%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
Draw
39%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.