How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Burgess Hill Town, at 51.7%. The other outcomes represent 48.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.7% · Draw: 22.2% · Away win: 26.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Burgess Hill Town 1641; Maldon & Tiptree 1578. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Isthmian · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Burgess Hill Town
Elo 1641
4
-
1
Maldon & Tiptree
Elo 1578
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+63
Elo rating comparison
Burgess Hill Town1641
Maldon & Tiptree1578
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Burgess Hill Town
—Draws
—Maldon & Tiptree
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
@ 1.80
Draw
22%
@ 3.91
Away
26%
@ 3.64
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.52
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.24
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
@ 2.32
Draw
34%
@ 2.41
Away
19%
@ 3.93
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.25
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
@ 1.15
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.55
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.