Ramsgate vs Carshalton Athletic

Non League Premier - Isthmian · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 · 14:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ramsgate, at 37.1%. The other outcomes represent 62.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 37.1% · Draw: 27.4% · Away win: 35.5%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Ramsgate 1668; Carshalton Athletic 1588. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Non League Premier - Isthmian · Saturday, Oct 3 2026 · 14:00
Ramsgate
Elo 1668
2 - 3
Carshalton Athletic
Elo 1588
FT HT 2-2
Home Form (5)
1W 1D 3L
Away Form (5)
1W 2D 2L
Elo Advantage
+80
H2H (2)
2H 0D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Ramsgate1668
Carshalton Athletic1588

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

2Ramsgate
0Draws
0Carshalton Athletic

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
37% conf. WRONG
Home
37%
@ 2.26
Draw
27%
@ 3.69
Away
35%
@ 2.65
Both Teams to Score
53% conf. CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.53
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf. CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf. CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf. WRONG
Yes
60%
@ 1.42
No
40%
Double Chance X2
65% conf. CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.57
No
35%
Half-Time Result
44% conf. CORRECT
Home
29%
@ 2.83
Draw
44%
@ 2.34
Away
27%
@ 3.16
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf. WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf. CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.28
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf. WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
83%
@ 1.18
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf. CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.62
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf. WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf. CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.