How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rylands, at 58.8%. The other outcomes represent 41.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58.8% · Draw: 20.7% · Away win: 20.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Rylands 1642; AFC Emley 1464. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Northern · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Rylands
Elo 1642
4
-
1
AFC Emley
Elo 1464
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+177
Elo rating comparison
Rylands1642
AFC Emley1464
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Rylands
—Draws
—AFC Emley
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
CORRECT
Home
59%
Draw
21%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
38%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.