How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bury Town, at 38.1%. The other outcomes represent 61.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.1% · Draw: 24.3% · Away win: 37.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bury Town 1646; Kettering Town 1719. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Southern Central · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 19:45
Bury Town
Elo 1646
vs
Kettering Town
Elo 1719
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-73
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Bury Town1646
Kettering Town1719
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Bury Town
0Draws
1Kettering Town
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
24%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
38%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.