How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Leamington, at 45.9%. The other outcomes represent 54.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.9% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 30.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Leamington 1471; Hitchin Town 1537. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Southern Central · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Leamington
Elo 1471
4
-
0
Hitchin Town
Elo 1537
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
-66
Elo rating comparison
Leamington1471
Hitchin Town1537
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Leamington
—Draws
—Hitchin Town
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
24%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
41%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.