How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Peterborough Sports, at 40.7%. The other outcomes represent 59.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.7% · Draw: 19.5% · Away win: 40.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Leighton Town 1592; Peterborough Sports 1515. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Southern Central · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Leighton Town
Elo 1592
2
-
4
Peterborough Sports
Elo 1515
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+77
Elo rating comparison
Leighton Town1592
Peterborough Sports1515
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Leighton Town
—Draws
—Peterborough Sports
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
20%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
31%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.