How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Brazil, at 59.6%. The other outcomes represent 40.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.2% · Draw: 19.1% · Away win: 59.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: India 1443; Brazil 1912. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
India
Elo 1443
0
-
4
Brazil
Elo 1912
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-468
Elo rating comparison
India1443
Brazil1912
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—India
—Draws
—Brazil
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
Draw
19%
Away
60%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
18%
Draw
33%
Away
50%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.