How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ferizaj, at 41.1%. The other outcomes represent 58.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.8% · Draw: 28.1% · Away win: 41.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ramiz Sadiku 1473; Ferizaj 1617. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga E Pare · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Ramiz Sadiku
Elo 1473
0
-
0
Ferizaj
Elo 1617
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-144
Elo rating comparison
Ramiz Sadiku1473
Ferizaj1617
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Ramiz Sadiku
—Draws
—Ferizaj
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
28%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
37%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.