How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rilindja 1974, at 49.3%. The other outcomes represent 50.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.3% · Draw: 24.5% · Away win: 26.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Rilindja 1974 1455; Istogu 1370. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga E Pare · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Rilindja 1974
Elo 1455
0
-
2
Istogu
Elo 1370
FT
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+84
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Rilindja 19741455
Istogu1370
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Rilindja 1974
2Draws
0Istogu
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
24%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
38%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.