How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Trepça Mitrovicë, at 39.1%. The other outcomes represent 60.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.1% · Draw: 25.8% · Away win: 35.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Trepça Mitrovicë 1361; FC Besa Peja 1440. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga E Pare · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Trepça Mitrovicë
Elo 1361
1
-
0
FC Besa Peja
Elo 1440
FT
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-79
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Trepça Mitrovicë1361
FC Besa Peja1440
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Trepça Mitrovicë
2Draws
0FC Besa Peja
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
Draw
26%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
42%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.