How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Vëllaznimi, at 57.4%. The other outcomes represent 42.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.4% · Draw: 22% · Away win: 20.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Vëllaznimi 1551; Vjosa 1417. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga E Pare · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Vëllaznimi
Elo 1551
0
-
1
Vjosa
Elo 1417
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+134
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Vëllaznimi1551
Vjosa1417
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Vëllaznimi
0Draws
0Vjosa
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
WRONG
Home
57%
Draw
22%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
Draw
36%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.