How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ostrovets FC, at 48.0%. The other outcomes represent 52.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 28.5% · Draw: 23.5% · Away win: 48%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: BATE II 1480; Ostrovets FC 1614. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Division · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 14:00
BATE II
Elo 1480
1
-
1
Ostrovets FC
Elo 1614
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-134
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
BATE II1480
Ostrovets FC1614
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0BATE II
2Draws
0Ostrovets FC
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
23%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
23%
Draw
38%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.