How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bumprom, at 56.0%. The other outcomes represent 44.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56% · Draw: 20.8% · Away win: 23.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bumprom 1671; Minsk II 1542. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Division · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 12:00
Bumprom
Elo 1671
2
-
1
Minsk II
Elo 1542
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+129
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Bumprom1671
Minsk II1542
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Bumprom
2Draws
0Minsk II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
CORRECT
Home
56%
Draw
21%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
41%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.