How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Grom Nowy Staw, at 56.5%. The other outcomes represent 43.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.5% · Draw: 21.4% · Away win: 22%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Grom Nowy Staw 1542; Bałtyk Koszalin 1426. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
III Liga - Group 2 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 10:30
Grom Nowy Staw
Elo 1542
1
-
3
Bałtyk Koszalin
Elo 1426
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+116
Elo rating comparison
Grom Nowy Staw1542
Bałtyk Koszalin1426
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Grom Nowy Staw
—Draws
—Bałtyk Koszalin
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
WRONG
Home
57%
Draw
21%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
34%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
91%
No
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.