How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gimnástica Torrelavega, at 51.3%. The other outcomes represent 48.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.3% · Draw: 23.3% · Away win: 25.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1725; Marino de Luanco 1625. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 15:00
Gimnástica Torrelavega
Elo 1725
1
-
2
Marino de Luanco
Elo 1625
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+100
Elo rating comparison
Gimnástica Torrelavega1725
Marino de Luanco1625
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Gimnástica Torrelavega
—Draws
—Marino de Luanco
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
32%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.