How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pogon Szczecin W, at 74.4%. The other outcomes represent 25.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 74.4% · Draw: 15.2% · Away win: 10.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pogon Szczecin W 1787; Rekord Bielsko-Biala W 1407. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ekstraliga Women · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 10:00
Pogon Szczecin W
Elo 1787
vs
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
Elo 1407
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+379
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Pogon Szczecin W1787
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W1407
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Pogon Szczecin W
0Draws
0Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
74% conf.
Home
74%
Draw
15%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
Home
55%
Draw
33%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.