How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Young Boys W, at 70.5%. The other outcomes represent 29.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 70.5% · Draw: 19.4% · Away win: 10%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Young Boys W 1727; Luzern W 1409. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
AXA Women’s Super League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 15:00
Young Boys W
Elo 1727
2
-
1
Luzern W
Elo 1409
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Elo Advantage
+318
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Young Boys W1727
Luzern W1409
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Young Boys W
0Draws
0Luzern W
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
71% conf.
CORRECT
Home
71%
Draw
19%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
Draw
40%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.