How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Alaniya Vladikavkaz, at 49.9%. The other outcomes represent 50.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.9% · Draw: 24.3% · Away win: 25.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1585; FK Sokol Saratov 1539. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League A - Division A Gold · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 12:00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Elo 1585
vs
FK Sokol Saratov
Elo 1539
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+46
H2H (3)
0H
0D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Alaniya Vladikavkaz1585
FK Sokol Saratov1539
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0Draws
3FK Sokol Saratov
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
Home
50%
Draw
24%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
44%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.