How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mashuk-KMV, at 40.9%. The other outcomes represent 59.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.9% · Draw: 30.1% · Away win: 29%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mashuk-KMV 1644; Dinamo Kirov 1700. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League A - Division A Gold · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Mashuk-KMV
Elo 1644
vs
Dinamo Kirov
Elo 1700
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-56
H2H (3)
0H
3D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Mashuk-KMV1644
Dinamo Kirov1700
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Mashuk-KMV
3Draws
0Dinamo Kirov
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
30%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
49%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.