How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Novosibirsk, at 49.3%. The other outcomes represent 50.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.3% · Draw: 29.1% · Away win: 21.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Novosibirsk 1683; Dinamo Bryansk 1616. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League A - Division A Gold · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 10:00
Novosibirsk
Elo 1683
vs
Dinamo Bryansk
Elo 1616
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+67
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Novosibirsk1683
Dinamo Bryansk1616
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Novosibirsk
0Draws
4Dinamo Bryansk
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
29%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
42%
Draw
38%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.