How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lippstadt 08, at 55.1%. The other outcomes represent 44.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.1% · Draw: 20.8% · Away win: 24.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lippstadt 08 1573; SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 1464. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Westfalen · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 15:00
Lippstadt 08
Elo 1573
5
-
3
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
Elo 1464
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+109
Elo rating comparison
Lippstadt 081573
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen1464
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Lippstadt 08
—Draws
—SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
Draw
21%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
33%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.