How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stade Payerne, at 39.2%. The other outcomes represent 60.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.2% · Draw: 24.5% · Away win: 36.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stade Payerne 1484; Portalban / Gletterens 1538. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 15:00
Stade Payerne
Elo 1484
0
-
3
Portalban / Gletterens
Elo 1538
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-54
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Stade Payerne1484
Portalban / Gletterens1538
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Stade Payerne
0Draws
2Portalban / Gletterens
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
40%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.