How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is AS Cotonou, at 49.0%. The other outcomes represent 51.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49% · Draw: 31.9% · Away win: 19.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: AS Cotonou 1589; Dragons 1531. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championnat National · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 15:00
AS Cotonou
Elo 1589
2
-
0
Dragons
Elo 1531
FT
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+58
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
AS Cotonou1589
Dragons1531
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0AS Cotonou
2Draws
0Dragons
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
32%
Away
19%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
49%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.