How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ayema, at 42.3%. The other outcomes represent 57.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.3% · Draw: 32.2% · Away win: 25.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ayema 1587; ASVO 1612. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championnat National · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 15:00
Ayema
Elo 1587
1
-
0
ASVO
Elo 1612
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-25
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Ayema1587
ASVO1612
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Ayema
0Draws
0ASVO
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
42%
Draw
32%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
49%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.