How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Loto Popo, at 52.1%. The other outcomes represent 47.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.1% · Draw: 30% · Away win: 18%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Loto Popo 1691; Buffles 1645. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championnat National · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 15:00
Loto Popo
Elo 1691
0
-
2
Buffles
Elo 1645
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
+46
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Loto Popo1691
Buffles1645
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Loto Popo
0Draws
0Buffles
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
52%
Draw
30%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
48%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.