How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Doma United, at 40.7%. The other outcomes represent 59.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.7% · Draw: 29.2% · Away win: 30.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Doma United 1481; Warri Wolves 1506. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NPFL · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 15:00
Doma United
Elo 1481
1
-
0
Warri Wolves
Elo 1506
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-25
Elo rating comparison
Doma United1481
Warri Wolves1506
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Doma United
—Draws
—Warri Wolves
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
29%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
42%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.