How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is KAC Soccer, at 46.5%. The other outcomes represent 53.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.5% · Draw: 28.1% · Away win: 25.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: KAC Soccer 1487; Mighty Royals 1522. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division One League · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 15:00
KAC Soccer
Elo 1487
1
-
4
Mighty Royals
Elo 1522
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-36
H2H (7)
2H
1D
4A
Elo rating comparison
KAC Soccer1487
Mighty Royals1522
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2KAC Soccer
1Draws
4Mighty Royals
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
28%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
43%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.