How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gorée, at 58.9%. The other outcomes represent 41.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58.9% · Draw: 26.8% · Away win: 14.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Gorée 1599; La Linguère 1448. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 17:00
Gorée
Elo 1599
vs
La Linguère
Elo 1448
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Elo Advantage
+151
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Gorée1599
La Linguère1448
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Gorée
2Draws
0La Linguère
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
Home
59%
Draw
27%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
49%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.