How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Chênois, at 67.0%. The other outcomes represent 33.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 67% · Draw: 14% · Away win: 19%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Chênois 1652; Vevey Sports 1273. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 15:30
Chênois
Elo 1652
0
-
4
Vevey Sports
Elo 1273
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+378
Elo rating comparison
Chênois1652
Vevey Sports1273
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Chênois
—Draws
—Vevey Sports
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
WRONG
Home
67%
Draw
14%
Away
19%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
WRONG
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
59% conf.
WRONG
Home
59%
Draw
28%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.