How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Grosseto, at 65.3%. The other outcomes represent 34.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 65.3% · Draw: 21% · Away win: 13.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Grosseto 1631; Sambenedettese 1556. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie C - Girone B · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 15:30
Grosseto
Elo 1631
1
-
3
Sambenedettese
Elo 1556
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+75
Elo rating comparison
Grosseto1631
Sambenedettese1556
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Grosseto
—Draws
—Sambenedettese
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
WRONG
Home
65%
@ 1.60
Draw
21%
@ 3.72
Away
14%
@ 4.99
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 2.10
No
47%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
WRONG
Yes
93%
@ 1.12
No
7%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
@ 2.21
Draw
37%
@ 2.20
Away
14%
@ 5.34
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.39
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.29
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.