How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Giugliano, at 49.7%. The other outcomes represent 50.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.7% · Draw: 28.7% · Away win: 21.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Giugliano 1546; Barletta 1636. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie C - Girone C · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 15:30
Giugliano
Elo 1546
1
-
0
Barletta
Elo 1636
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
-90
Elo rating comparison
Giugliano1546
Barletta1636
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Giugliano
—Draws
—Barletta
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
@ 2.20
Draw
29%
@ 3.35
Away
22%
@ 2.93
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.70
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.33
No
25%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
@ 1.56
No
38%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
@ 2.85
Draw
42%
@ 2.12
Away
30%
@ 3.54
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
@ 1.37
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
@ 1.27
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.