How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pelikan Łowicz, at 46.3%. The other outcomes represent 53.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.3% · Draw: 17.9% · Away win: 35.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pelikan Łowicz 1441; Widzew II 1528. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
III Liga - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Pelikan Łowicz
Elo 1441
1
-
1
Widzew II
Elo 1528
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-87
Elo rating comparison
Pelikan Łowicz1441
Widzew II1528
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Pelikan Łowicz
—Draws
—Widzew II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
18%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
36%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.