How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Guadalajara, at 48.0%. The other outcomes represent 52.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48% · Draw: 32.1% · Away win: 19.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Guadalajara 1651; Gimnástica Segoviana 1624. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 16:00
Guadalajara
Elo 1651
3
-
3
Gimnástica Segoviana
Elo 1624
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+27
Elo rating comparison
Guadalajara1651
Gimnástica Segoviana1624
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Guadalajara
—Draws
—Gimnástica Segoviana
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
@ 2.04
Draw
32%
@ 3.29
Away
20%
@ 3.36
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 1.85
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.25
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.66
No
46%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
@ 2.76
Draw
47%
@ 2.05
Away
17%
@ 4.07
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.44
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.35
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.