How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Yarud Mariupol', at 54.6%. The other outcomes represent 45.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.6% · Draw: 24.3% · Away win: 21.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Yarud Mariupol' 1617; Nyva Ternopil 1521. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Persha Liga · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 12:30
Yarud Mariupol'
Elo 1617
vs
Nyva Ternopil
Elo 1521
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+96
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Yarud Mariupol'1617
Nyva Ternopil1521
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Yarud Mariupol'
0Draws
0Nyva Ternopil
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
Home
55%
Draw
24%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
43%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.