How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fethiyespor, at 46.0%. The other outcomes represent 54.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46% · Draw: 27.6% · Away win: 26.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fethiyespor 1611; Karacabey Belediyespor 1643. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. Lig · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 16:00
Fethiyespor
Elo 1611
0
-
1
Karacabey Belediyespor
Elo 1643
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-32
Elo rating comparison
Fethiyespor1611
Karacabey Belediyespor1643
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Fethiyespor
—Draws
—Karacabey Belediyespor
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
28%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
41%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.