How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Dieppe, at 64.1%. The other outcomes represent 35.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.1% · Draw: 20.8% · Away win: 15.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Dieppe 1636; Le Pays du Valois 1543. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National 2 - Group A · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 16:00
Dieppe
Elo 1636
1
-
3
Le Pays du Valois
Elo 1543
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+93
Elo rating comparison
Dieppe1636
Le Pays du Valois1543
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Dieppe
—Draws
—Le Pays du Valois
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
WRONG
Home
64%
Draw
21%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
Draw
36%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.