How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Avranches, at 52.9%. The other outcomes represent 47.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.5% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 52.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Chauray 1542; Avranches 1642. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National 2 - Group B · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 18:00
Chauray
Elo 1542
0
-
2
Avranches
Elo 1642
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-100
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Chauray1542
Avranches1642
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Chauray
0Draws
0Avranches
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
22%
Away
53%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
Draw
35%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.