How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Angoulême, at 43.0%. The other outcomes represent 57.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.7% · Draw: 24.4% · Away win: 43%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pontivy GSI 1586; Angoulême 1629. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National 2 - Group B · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 16:00
Pontivy GSI
Elo 1586
0
-
1
Angoulême
Elo 1629
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-43
Elo rating comparison
Pontivy GSI1586
Angoulême1629
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Pontivy GSI
—Draws
—Angoulême
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
24%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
Draw
36%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.