How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rumilly Vallières, at 54.8%. The other outcomes represent 45.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.8% · Draw: 23% · Away win: 22.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Rumilly Vallières 1695; Limonest 1585. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National 2 - Group C · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 16:00
Rumilly Vallières
Elo 1695
4
-
1
Limonest
Elo 1585
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+110
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Rumilly Vallières1695
Limonest1585
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Rumilly Vallières
0Draws
0Limonest
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
Draw
23%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
36%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.