How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Roma W, at 63.6%. The other outcomes represent 36.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 63.6% · Draw: 16.8% · Away win: 19.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Roma W 1989; Lazio W 1674. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A Women · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 16:00
Roma W
Elo 1989
3
-
1
Lazio W
Elo 1674
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+315
H2H (6)
5H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Roma W1989
Lazio W1674
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
5Roma W
1Draws
0Lazio W
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
CORRECT
Home
64%
Draw
17%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
45%
Draw
39%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.